Home African Swine Fever [Mathematical models] Improving ASF modelling
African Swine Fever roadmap:
Control Strategies

Roadmap for the development of control strategies for ASF

Download ASF Control Strategy Roadmap

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Mathematical models

Mathematical models

Research Question

  • To improve the modelling of ASF control or spread in different scenarios

Research Gaps and Challenges

  • Assess and model the epidemiology of ASF in emergency control programmes on the level of the individual pig, the
    herd, and the demographics of the region (low versus high density pig populations)
  • Perform risk assessments with regards to control or spread of ASFV

Dependencies

  • Investigating the transmission pathways within and between host species
  • Improving knowledge on ASF host demographics (including wildlife)
  • Assessing the R0 for the different strains of ASFV

Projects

What activities are planned or underway?

Africa's Long Depression: The Growth and Debt Crises of 1975-2000

Planned Completion date 01/03/2027

Participating Country(s):

United KingdomIconUnited Kingdom