Influenza roadmap:
Control Strategies
Roadmap for the development of disease control strategies for influenza
Download Influenza-control-development-roadmap4
Modelling interventions
Dependencies
Next steps
Modelling interventions
Research Question
- Mathematical models that can improve prevention and control measures for influenza viruses
- Geo-epidemiologic models that can improve prevention and control measures for influenza viruses
Research Gaps and Challenges
- Mathematical/computational modelling of outbreak dynamics to inform public policy
- Need for data as early as possible to populate the model
- What are the specific datasets necessary as basic minimum for a good model?
- Models to include climate change data that affects wild bird migration
- Difficulty to track different vectors movements
- Diverse strains and clades
Solution Routes
- Impact of airborne transmission (wind or ventilation system)
- Improvement of current modelling systems with new knowledge on transmissions routes, epidemiological and environmental data
- Inclusion of epidemiological, environmental, and socioeconomic data into comprehensive viral prediction systems
- Computational risk modelling based on epidemiological and surveillance data, including diverse strains and clades
- Preset/well defined data fields to ease data movement and collection
- Models taking into account vaccinated/unvaccinated populations and
vaccines’ /(incl. R0) - Determination of the population (bird or animal number) sampled with environmental samples.
- Models contextualizing real-life scenarios
Dependencies
- Target surveillance efforts and disease control strategies
- Data availability to populate models
- Possibility of Data sharing between countries and from private companies
- Data collection from populations that are difficult to capture like upland gamebirds.
- Duck population data. Mortality, production parameters, antibodies, virological
- Availability of socio-economics and livelihoods data
Projects
What activities are planned or underway?
Development of Vaccines for HPAI in Cattle, Turkey, Pigs, and Small Ruminants and Food Safety Studies Related to HPAI Virus in Food Products
Planned Completion date 25/08/2029
Source Countries:
United States
Automated non-invasive Detection of Surface Contamination and Optimizing Surface Biofilm Removal Conditions in Large-Scale Food Processing Equipment
Planned Completion date 31/08/2028
Source Countries:
United States